Changed dynamics: On India and the Trump administration

The start of U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term has brought major changes in global politics, with his strong focus on the “America First” policy. While India and the U.S. had strong ties during his first term, his unpredictable decisions mean India needs to stay alert and plan its strategies carefully. Trump’s new policies on trade, immigration, and global relations will affect India, making it necessary to balance diplomacy with national interests. Despite uncertainties, India remains an important partner for the U.S. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar was among the first foreign leaders to meet the new U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Their discussions covered key areas like the Indo-Pacific partnership, defense cooperation, technology, and security concerns related to China. The meeting also reinforced the importance of the Quad alliance, which includes the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia, aiming to

ensure stability in the region. However, while defense and strategic relations seem strong, concerns remain over trade and immigration policies that could impact India negatively.

One of the biggest issues is trade. Although India has not yet faced direct tariff hikes, Trump’s statement about a “100% tariff” on BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) has raised concerns. In his first term, he had already ended India’s GSP (Generalized System of Preferences) status, which hurt Indian exporters. If Trump imposes new tariffs or trade restrictions, India’s economy—especially IT services and pharmaceuticals—could face difficulties. Trump’s strict immigration policies pose a serious problem for India. His government has declared a “border emergency” and is cracking down on illegal immigrants.

Another worrying policy is the cancellation of birthright citizenship, meaning children of Indian professionals working in the U.S. would not automatically get U.S. citizenship. This could impact thousands of Indian families and make migration to the U.S. less attractive for skilled workers. Given these challenges, India must push for a more humane immigration policy and safeguard its citizens’ interests.

Apart from direct India-U.S. relations, Trump’s approach to international organizations also affects India. His administration has withdrawn support from WHO, WTO, and the UN, signaling that the U.S. may not fully support global institutions. This means India must prepare for a world where it can no longer rely on multilateral organizations for support. Trump has also warned NATO allies to increase their defense spending, showing that he expects nations to take care of their own security. This shift highlights the importance of self-reliance for India, particularly in defense, trade, and technology. Strengthening partnerships with Europe, Southeast Asia, and other major economies will help India maintain balance in global affairs.

Trump’s second term brings both opportunities and challenges for India. While strategic and defense ties remain strong, economic uncertainties and immigration policies require careful handling. India must take a firm yet diplomatic approach in trade negotiations, stand up for its migrant workers, and focus on building its own economic and technological strength.

By adapting to new global realities, maintaining strong regional ties, and asserting itself in international affairs, India can protect its national interests and emerge stronger despite the unpredictable nature of the Trump administration.